From short cycling to right-sized.

A peak-load study turned an oversized, short-cycling pharmaceutical chiller plant into a right-sized, resilient one — 16,639 data points distilled into a single, confident capital recommendation.

THE SITUATION

A plant fighting its own size

A pharmaceutical facility depends on a robust HVAC system for year-round climate control. Its chilling infrastructure had drifted into inefficiency, and the client wanted data — not guesswork — to improve reliability and cut energy waste.

The question underneath it all: was the plant actually sized for how the building runs?

Climate-critical, year-round

Cooling the plant can’t go down — in any season.

Oversized chilling infrastructure

Equipment scaled for a peak that rarely arrives.

Capital decisions on the line

The client wanted evidence before spending on upgrades.

THE CHALLENGE

Oversized chillers, short-cycling off-peak

Short cycling

In non-peak months, oversized chillers cycled on and off constantly — driving wear, higher maintenance, and poor efficiency.

No load data

Without precise load numbers, the plant couldn’t be right-sized — risking underperformance at peak and strain at low load.

Planning by guesswork

With no view of peak vs. average load, upgrades and optimization were guesswork — an expensive way to make capital decisions.

THE SOLUTION

MelRok Engineering: A peak-load study from the data

MelRok computed instantaneous plant load across the full EMIS time series — turning three live sensor streams into one load signal.

INPUTS — live sensor streams

CHWS Flow

GPM

Supply Temp

°F (CHWST)

Return Temp

°F (CHWRT)

THE INDUSTRY-STANDARD CHILLER LOAD FORMULA

Load (tons) = 500 × CHWSF × ( CHWRT − CHWST ) / 12,000

Plant Load

16,639 data points processed into mean, minimum, maximum, and percentile load distributions — led by MelRok’s lead mechanical / design engineer and delivered as a detailed report.

Off-peak, the pony chiller (Chiller_03, blue) modulates smoothly at low compressor power, following the load. Run the same period on the large units instead and the cost is obvious: Chiller_01 (green) draws high, steady power, while Chiller_02 (black) spikes on and off — the short cycling the study set out to fix.

230 tons

mean load (typical 200–270)

688 tons

peak ( >640 t for ~3 hrs )

< 2%

of time above 600 t (355 pts)

200–580

95th-percentile load band

Plant load over time (blue), bounded by the 95th-percentile band — 200 t (min) to 580 t (max). Daily demand cycles well below the rare peaks.

THE RECOMMENDATION

Size for the everyday load. Keep the giants for the peak.

A pharmaceutical facility depends on a robust HVAC system for year-round climate control. Its chilling infrastructure had drifted into inefficiency, and the client wanted data — not guesswork — to improve reliability and cut energy waste.

The question underneath it all: was the plant actually sized for how the building runs?

The data told a clear story: the plant lives at modest load — typically 200–270 tons, and under 580 tons 95% of the time. Loads above 600 tons are rare, brief spikes.

So the everyday load doesn’t need a giant chiller. A small, modulating “pony” chiller can carry it efficiently — with the existing large chillers held in reserve for the rare peak.

THE RECOMMENDATION

Deploy a 240-ton pony chiller

THE EVIDENCE

The pony chiller carries off-peak — at a fraction of the power

Off-peak, the pony chiller (Chiller_03, blue) modulates smoothly at low compressor power, following the load.

Run the same period on the large units instead and the cost is obvious:

Chiller_01 (green) draws high, steady power, while
Chiller_02 (black) spikes on and off — the short
cycling the study set out to fix.

Same load, far less energy — and no short-cycling spikes. That’s the recommendation, validated in the data.

THE SOLUTION

MelRok Engineering: A peak-load study from the data

MelRok computed instantaneous plant load across the full EMIS time series — turning three live sensor streams into one load signal.

Reduced short cycling

Better-matched sizing minimizes inefficient on-off cycles — extending equipment lifespan.

Energy savings

Lower off-peak compressor power, with utility-cost savings expected as operations track real demand.

Enhanced reliability

Redundancy covers rare peaks like the 688-ton event — without leaning on oversized units.

Data-driven confidence

Hard metrics let the client make capital decisions with evidence, not guesswork.

THE TAKEAWAY

Right-sized. Resilient. Data-driven.

MelRok turned 16,639 data points into a single confident recommendation — ending short cycling, preserving peak redundancy, and giving the client evidence to invest with certainty. Facilities like yours can benefit the same way.